Beyond Simple Solutions - Cynefin, Antifragility and the Art of Learning in Uncertain Environments
Slides of Gabor Erenyi's presentation at the Budapest Agile Meetup, March 31st, 2026.
In a complex world problems don’t behave the way we expect them to—and trying to manage them with simple or complicated methods often makes things worse.
During this meetup, we have explored the Cynefin framework and how it helps you to understand different types of situations and respond accordingly. We have looked at what truly complex environments require, how learning and adaptation emerge from uncertainty, and how ideas from antifragility can help us not just survive volatility but ride on its waves.
Expect a mindset shift that you can apply the next day.
FREE
antifragility , bani , complexity , cynefin , decision_making , english , frameworks , just_in_time , learning_culture
The Barbell Economy Is Reshaping Your Career
https://substack.jurgenappe... How Big Tech and Micro-entrepreneurs Are Changing the Workforce
External content hosted on jurgenappelo.com.
FREE
ai , bani , english , sustainability , trends
Why Agile Practitioners Should Be Optimistic for 2026 (Part 1)
https://age-of-product.com/... " the organizations that succeed at AI adoption are the ones that already have agile delivery capability."
External content hosted on age-of-product.com.
FREE
ai , change_mgmt , english , transformation
Graphic Gameplan
https://gamestorming.com/gr... The Graphic Gameplan shows you how you’ll get where you want to go with a project.
External content hosted on gamestorming.com.
FREE
english , gamestorming , goal_vision , planning , practice , project_mgmt , tools
How-Now-Wow Matrix
https://gamestorming.com/ho... When people want to develop new ideas, they most often think out of the box in the brainstorming or divergent phase. However, when it comes to convergence, people often end up picking ideas that are most familiar to them. This is called a ‘creative paradox’ or a ‘creadox’.
The How-Now-Wow matrix is an idea selection tool that breaks the creadox by forcing people to weigh each idea on 2 parameters.
External content hosted on gamestorming.com.
FREE
decision_making , english , gamestorming
Actual stakeholders? Or just your audience?
https://www.scrum.org/resou... Christiaan Verwijs helps to understand who is your real stakeholder
External content hosted on scrum.org.
FREE
english , stakeholder
A Map for Agentic Transformation
https://substack.jurgenappe... How archetypes shape your path to agentic organizations
External content hosted on jurgenappelo.com.
FREE
ai , english
Marty Cagan: Founder-Style Leadership
Marty Cagan's opening keynote at Product at Heart 2025 in Hamburg, Germany.
External content hosted on vimeo.com.
FREE
english , leadership , product
Henrik Kniberg: AI Agents in Practice
Henrik Kniberg's keynote at Product at Heart in Hamburg, June 2025
External content hosted on vimeo.com.
FREE
ai , english , team_topologies
20th Anniversary of the First Kanban in IT VIDEO Unlock the real story behind one of the most influential Kanban case studies at Microsoft — and how a struggling team went from 5-month delays to 5–15 day delivery without changing their developers, tools, or team size.
External content hosted on youtube.com.
FREE
english , kanban
The Ten Commandments of Viability in AI
https://substack.jurgenappe... Your Survival Guide for When the AI Bubble Bursts
External content hosted on jurgenappelo.com.
FREE
ai , english
How to Cope with Uncertainty About the Future
https://substack.jurgenappe... Stop worrying about strategy. Start developing your options. Don't make a plan; make a platform.
External content hosted on jurgenappelo.com.
FREE
bani , complexity , english , strategy
The Revenge of Command and Control
https://substack.jurgenappe... Supposedly autonomous AI might cause managers to abandon decades of empowerment and return to micromanagement.
External content hosted on jurgenappelo.com.
FREE
ai , english , micromanagement
Let's Start from Scratch: Organizational Design in the Age of AI
https://substack.jurgenappe... Introducing the Harmony Pattern Language for Hybrid Teams
External content hosted on jurgenappelo.com.
FREE
ai , english , frameworks , holacracy , hybrid_work , self_management , strategy , team_dynamics , team_topologies , transformation , unfix , viable_s_m , workspace
Scrum Published Patterns
https://sites.google.com/a/... A huge collection of additional patterns to Scrum
External content hosted on google.com.
FREE
english , scrum
Don't Rely on AI Benchmarks. Do Your Own Testing.
https://substack.jurgenappe... Jurgen Appelo compares AIs using a simple test.
External content hosted on jurgenappelo.com.
FREE
ai , english
InfoQ Culture & Methods Trends Report - April 2024
https://www.infoq.com/artic... - Whilst remote working presents challenges to innovation and collaboration, there are effective techniques to address them
- Staff-Plus engineers bring value through far more than their technical skills
- Developer Experience can be measured and there are metrics that can be used to find small improvements that make a huge difference
- It is possible and practical to include climate impact as a quality attribute of a software product
- The use of AI tools, such as large language models, can enhance the work of good programmers but do not replace the need for human expertise and creativity
External content hosted on infoq.com.
FREE
ai , devex , english , sustainability , team_dynamics , trends
Retrospective Exercises Toolbox
https://www.benlinders.com/... A collection of retrospective exercises.
External content hosted on benlinders.com.
FREE
english , retrospective 
Welcome to the Lighthouse in the Storm, your beacon in the stormy waters of a brittle, anxious, non-linear, incomprihensible world. Enter our Lighthouse, created by humans, for humans and browse 198 blogposts, videos, courses and exams, and 411 event suggestions. Be part of our community of like-minded individuals hungry for information. Welcome!